Effectiveness of Foreign Aid and Tax Revenue on Economic Growth of Pakistan

Authors

  • Nasreen Akhtar Lecturer of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Layyah
  • Sadia Anjum Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, the University of Layyah, Pakistan
  • Ghulam Abbas Lecturer of Business Administration, Department of Business Administration, The University of Layyah, Pakistan
  • Muhammad Asif Idrees Lecturer of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Layyah, Pakistan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21015/vtess.v11i2.1476

Abstract

Economic growth is defined as the increase in the production of economic goods and services over time. This paper examines the impact of foreign aid and tax revenue on economic growth in Pakistan. Additionally, it explores how we can enhance the economic growth rate through improvements in the taxation system and by reducing dependence on foreign aid. Both domestic revenue and foreign aid serve as sources of development financing, and both tax revenue and foreign aid have an impact on economic growth. The empirical analysis is based on secondary data, specifically time series data from the period 1975-2018. The Johnson co-integration estimation . Study employs the ARDL (Auto Regressive Distributed Lag) Bound testing approach to explore the relationship between economic growth and other dependent variables, including tax revenue, capital formation, government expenditure, per capita income, and foreign aid. The results of the ARDL model indicate that foreign aid has a positive impact on economic growth in Pakistan. Government expenditure and per capita income also have a positive influence on economic growth, while taxes and capital formation negatively affect economic growth in Pakistan.

Author Biography

Nasreen Akhtar, Lecturer of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Layyah

Department of English, Bahadur sub campus layyah,BZU,Multan

References

Ahmad, N., Ahmad, A., & Yasmeen, K. (2013). The Impact of Tax on Economic Growth of Pakistan: An Ardl Approach. Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 3(11), 392-398.

Aghion, P., Akcigit, U., Cagé, J., & Kerr, W. R. (2016). Taxation, corruption, and DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w21928

growth. European Economic Review, 86, 24-51.

Ali, S., Chaudhry, I. S., & Farooq, F. (2011). Human capital formation and economic growth in

Pakistan. Bahuddin Zakariya University, Multan.

Cebula, R., Clark, J. R., & Mixon, F. (2012). The impact of economic freedom on per capita real

GDP: a study of OECD nation.

Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348

series with a unit root. Journal of the American statistical association, 74(366a), 427-431.

Gale, W. G., Krupkin, A., & Rueben, K. (2015). The relationship between taxes and growth at the state level: new evidence. National Tax Journal, 68(4), 919-942.

Gale, W. G., & Samwick, A. A. (2014). Effects of income tax changes on economic growth. Economic Studies, https://www. brookings. edu/wpcontent/uploads/2016/06/09_Effects_Income_Tax_Changes_Economic_Growth_Gale_Sa mwick. pdf. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2494468

Ghani, Z. (2012). A cross country analysis of tax performance with special focus on Pakistan s tax effort.

Franco-Rodriguez, S., Morrissey, O., & McGillivray, M. (1998). Aid and the public sector in Pakistan: evidence with endogenous aid. World Development, 26(7), 1241-1250. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(98)00048-5

Gale, W. G., Krupkin, A., & Rueben, K. (2015). The relationship between taxes and growth at the state level: new evidence. National Tax Journal, 68(4), 919-942. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2015.4.02

Ghani, Z. (2012). A cross country analysis of tax performance with special focus on Pakistan s tax effort.

Javid, M., & Qayyum, A. (2011). Foreign aid and growth nexus in Pakistan: The role of macroeconomic policies.

Mahmood, H., & Chaudhary, A. (2013). Impact of FDI on tax revenue in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences (PJCSS), 7(1), 59-69.

Mankiw, N. G., Weinzierl, M., & Yagan, D. (2009). Optimal taxation in theory and practice. Journal of Economic perspectives, 23(4), 147-174. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.23.4.147

Morrissey, O. (2015). Aid and government fiscal behavior: Assessing recent evidence. World Development, 69, 98-105. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.008

Mosley, P. (2015). Fiscal composition and aid effectiveness: a political economy model. World Development, 69, 106-115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.020

Pecorino, P. (1995). Tax rates and tax revenues in a model of growth through human capital accumulation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 36(3), 527-539. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(95)01224-9

Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The quarterly journal of economics, 70(1), 65-94. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Tezanos, S., Quiñones, A., & Guijarro, M. (2013). Inequality, aid and growth: macroeconomic

impact of aid grants and loans in Latin America and the Caribbean. Journal of Applied Economics, 16(1), 153-177.

Takumah, W. (2014). Tax Revenue and Economic Growth in Ghana: A Cointegration Approach.

Tuffour, J. K. (2013). Foreign aid, domestic revenue and economic growth in Ghana. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 4(8), 125-133.

Ullah, S., Azim, P., & Siddique, W. (2011). Impact of foreign aid volatility on economic growth in Pakistan. Retrieved from.

Nurudeen, A., & Usman, A. (2010). Government expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria, 1970-2008: A disaggregated analysis. Business and economics journal, 4(1), 1-11.

Downloads

Published

2023-06-30

How to Cite

Akhtar, N., Anjum, S., Abbas, G., & Idrees, M. A. (2023). Effectiveness of Foreign Aid and Tax Revenue on Economic Growth of Pakistan. VFAST Transactions on Education and Social Sciences, 11(2), 120–130. https://doi.org/10.21015/vtess.v11i2.1476

Issue

Section

Articles